Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 52.91%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 24.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.