Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 70.64%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 11.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.