Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 47.36% | 23.99% | 28.66% |
| Both teams to score 58.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.3% | 43.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.91% | 66.09% |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.39% | 18.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.1% | 49.9% |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.56% | 28.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.8% | 64.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% 1-0 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 5.27% 3-0 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 3.32% 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-0 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.41% Total : 47.36% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.99% | 1-2 @ 7.03% 0-1 @ 6.65% 0-2 @ 4.18% 1-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 1.75% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.68% Total : 28.66% |