Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
Result | ||
Forfar Athletic | Draw | Airdrieonians |
32.24% | 24.24% | 43.52% |
Both teams to score 59.39% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.92% | 43.07% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.52% | 65.47% |
Forfar Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.21% | 25.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.26% | 60.74% |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.03% | 19.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.87% | 52.13% |
Score Analysis |
Forfar Athletic | Draw | Airdrieonians |
2-1 @ 7.62% 1-0 @ 6.98% 2-0 @ 4.73% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.24% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 9.06% 0-1 @ 8.3% 0-2 @ 6.68% 1-3 @ 4.86% 0-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 3.3% 1-4 @ 1.96% 0-4 @ 1.45% 2-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 3% Total : 43.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 27 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 25 |
4 | Kelty Hearts | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Montrose | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Dumbarton | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |