Forfar Athletic
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Station Park
Hibs logo

Forfar
0 - 1
Hibernian

FT(HT: 0-0)
Gray (87')
Doidge (78')

The Match

Match Report

The Easter Road skipper secured a last-gasp Betfred Cup win at Forfar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 70.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 11.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Forfar Athletic win it was 1-0 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
Forfar AthleticDrawHibernian
11.54%17.87%70.59%
Both teams to score 48.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.51%41.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.11%63.89%
Forfar Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.43%45.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.62%81.38%
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.47%10.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.77%34.23%
Score Analysis
    Forfar Athletic 11.54%
    Hibernian 70.58%
    Draw 17.87%
Forfar AthleticDrawHibernian
1-0 @ 3.77%
2-1 @ 3.34%
2-0 @ 1.48%
3-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 11.54%
1-1 @ 8.49%
0-0 @ 4.8%
2-2 @ 3.76%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 17.87%
0-2 @ 12.15%
0-1 @ 10.79%
1-2 @ 9.56%
0-3 @ 9.12%
1-3 @ 7.17%
0-4 @ 5.14%
1-4 @ 4.04%
2-3 @ 2.82%
0-5 @ 2.31%
1-5 @ 1.82%
2-4 @ 1.59%
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 70.58%