Dumbarton
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
The C&G Systems Stadium
Dunfermline Athletic

Dumbarton
0 - 1
Dunfermline


Quitongo (15'), Neill (25'), Carswell (26'), McGeever (72'), Hamilton (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
O'Hara (26' pen.)
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Dumbarton and Dunfermline Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dunfermline Athletic in this match.

Result
DumbartonDrawDunfermline Athletic
28.52%26.1%45.38%
Both teams to score 51.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.22%52.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.59%74.4%
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.76%33.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.15%69.84%
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.8%23.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.91%57.09%
Score Analysis
    Dumbarton 28.52%
    Dunfermline Athletic 45.37%
    Draw 26.09%
DumbartonDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 8.49%
2-1 @ 6.84%
2-0 @ 4.68%
3-1 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 1.83%
3-0 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 28.52%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.71%
2-2 @ 4.99%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 11.26%
1-2 @ 9.07%
0-2 @ 8.23%
1-3 @ 4.42%
0-3 @ 4.01%
2-3 @ 2.43%
1-4 @ 1.61%
0-4 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 45.37%