Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for FC Ufa had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest FC Ufa win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rostov in this match.