Krasnodar
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 26
Jul 5, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Krasnodar Stadium
Zenit St Petersburg

Krasnodar
2 - 4
Zenit

Utkin (29', 50')
Petrov (46'), Olsson (56'), Vilhena (58'), Martynovich (60'), Berg (73')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Azmoun (5', 52'), Dzyuba (45+1' pen.), Sutormin (72')
Barrios (22'), Kuzyaev (45+3'), Driussi (78')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between FC Krasnodar and Zenit St Petersburg.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.

Result
FC KrasnodarDrawZenit St Petersburg
36.06%24.77%39.18%
Both teams to score 58.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.36%44.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33%67.01%
FC Krasnodar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.69%24.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.31%58.7%
Zenit St Petersburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33%22.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.68%56.32%
Score Analysis
    FC Krasnodar 36.06%
    Zenit St Petersburg 39.18%
    Draw 24.76%
FC KrasnodarDrawZenit St Petersburg
2-1 @ 8.18%
1-0 @ 7.8%
2-0 @ 5.51%
3-1 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 2.86%
3-0 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 1.01%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 36.06%
1-1 @ 11.56%
2-2 @ 6.07%
0-0 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.76%
1-2 @ 8.58%
0-1 @ 8.18%
0-2 @ 6.07%
1-3 @ 4.25%
0-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 3%
1-4 @ 1.58%
0-4 @ 1.11%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 39.18%