Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 23

Feb 6, 2021 at 3pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
1 - 1
Brighton

Berg Gudmundsson (53')
Mee (19'), Berg Gudmundsson (28')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dunk (36')

Reaction

Burnley manager Sean Dyche pictured on January 24, 2021

Sean Dyche pleased with Burnley attack against Brighton & Hove Albion

Sean Dyche hopes the more purposeful showing after half-time against Brighton will be a springboard for the rest of the season.

Feb 7, 09:15

Burnley boss Sean Dyche admits Brighton draw was a "headscratcher"

Johann Berg Gudmundsson got the equaliser after Lewis Dunk had given Brighton the lead.

Feb 6, 18:45

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 49.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 23.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.03%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
23.45%	26.9%	49.65%

Both teams to score 44.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.03%

58.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.55%

79.45%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.02%

40.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.46%

77.54%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.11%

23.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.91%

58.09%

Score Analysis

Burnley 23.45%

Brighton & Hove Albion 49.64%

Draw 26.9%

Burnley	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 8.73% 2-1 @ 5.58% 2-0 @ 3.9% 3-1 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 1.19% 3-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.24% Total : 23.45%	1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 9.79% 2-2 @ 3.99% Other @ 0.61% Total : 26.9%	0-1 @ 14.01% 0-2 @ 10.03% 1-2 @ 8.95% 0-3 @ 4.79% 1-3 @ 4.27% 2-3 @ 1.91% 0-4 @ 1.71% 1-4 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.44% Total : 49.64%