Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City Under-23s win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.59%) and 1-3 (5.07%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City Under-23s would win this match.
