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Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 14, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Casa Pia

Porto
2 - 1
Casa Pia

Taremi (56'), Loader (90+3')
Loader (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Evanilson (45+5' og.)
Zolotic (49'), Cardoso (74'), Taira (90+7')

Preview: Porto vs. Casa Pia - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Porto will be hoping to keep themselves in the hunt for the Primeira Liga title when they host Casa Pia at the Estadio do Dragao on Sunday evening.

The Dragons are four points behind league-leaders Benfica, with just three games left to play, while the visitors are rooted in midtable, currently sitting in ninth place.


Match preview

Inter Milan's Denzel Dumfries and Nicolo Barella in action with FC Porto's Galeno on March 10, 2023© Reuters

Porto have won the Primeira Liga title in two of the three previous campaigns, including the last one, however their chances of retaining it are fading, with time now running out.

The Dragons are in second place, but with just three games left to play, it is unlikely they are able to catch Benfica, who have won their last three games on the spin, without conceding a goal.

In fairness, Sergio Conceicao's side are holding their nerve at the business end of the season, winning their last eight games on the bounce, and they have collected four more points than Benfica over the last 20 games.

However, the Blue and Whites' slow start to the season has most likely cost them, unless there is a remarkable turnaround in the remaining games, although stranger things have happened in football.

Even if Porto are unable to win the title, they will be pleased they have managed to secure Champions League football for next season, while they could also still win the Taca de Portugal, recently booking their place in the final with a 3-2 victory against Famalicao.

Casa Pia's Nermin Zolotic in action with FC Porto's Joao Mario on January 7, 2023© Reuters

Casa Pia are likely to be very pleased with their first season in the Primeira Liga, having only been promoted back to the Portuguese top flight last season, as they have not been drawn into the relegation battle.

In fact, the Geese have managed to challenge near the top end of the table, and they are seven points off the top six with three games left to play, but their recent form has rendered them very unlikely to finish inside the European qualification places.

Filipe Martins' side have drawn two and lost four of their last six matches, and in truth they have been very disappointing throughout the second half of the season, collecting just 20 points in their last 20 games.

Casa Pia are very rarely outplayed, and they know they are capable of giving Porto a good game, given that they pushed Sporting CP all the way in early April, before eventually losing 4-3 after being reduced to 10 men.

Last time out, the Geese brought a two-game losing run to an end with a 1-1 draw at home to Portimonense, however they really should have taken more, conceding a 94th-minute goal, which was the visitors' second shot on target in the entire match.

Porto Primeira Liga form:


Porto form (all competitions):


Casa Pia Primeira Liga form:


Team News

Porto coach Sergio Conceicao on April 30, 2023© Reuters

Porto have no fresh injury concerns, but Conceicao may choose to make one change to his side in attack, given that they only narrowly scraped past Arouca in their last match, winning 1-0.

Evanilson was not at his best last weekend, failing to score for the eighth Primeira Liga game in a row, meaning Toni Martinez could be brought in at striker, having netted two goals in his last five matches.

Casa Pia have a couple of long-term absentees, with Kiki set to be sidelined with injury for the seventh game on the spin, and Leo Natel is not available due to a broken leg sustained last November.

Romario Baro is a doubt, after missing the last six games with injury, although the midfielder could be fit enough to make the bench.


Porto possible starting lineup:
Costa; Pepe, Pepe, Marcano, Wendell; Otavio, Grujic, Eustaquio, Galeno; Taremi, Martinez

Casa Pia possible starting lineup:
Batista; Fernandes, Varela, Tchamba; Soares, Mukendi, Neto, Lelo; Saviour, Soma, Martins


SM words green background

We say: Porto 2-1 Casa Pia

Although Casa Pia's form has tailed off considerably in the second half of the season, they are very rarely on the receiving end of any heavy defeats, with their last three defeats being by one-goal margins.

As such, we expect Porto to emerge as narrow winners, just about managing to keep themselves in contention for the Primeira Liga title.



For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.


Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


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Written by
Dominic Lund

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Game History

How you voted: Porto vs Casa Pia

Porto
91.3%
Draw
4.3%
Casa Pia
4.3%
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Benfica1310213282432
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
15AVS142661122-1112
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139


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