Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 42.55% | 25.99% | 31.46% |
| Both teams to score 53.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.93% | 51.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.07% | 72.92% |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.18% | 23.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.01% | 57.99% |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.77% | 30.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.6% | 66.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 8.87% 2-0 @ 7.41% 3-1 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.92% Total : 42.55% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.2% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.61% 1-2 @ 7.39% 0-2 @ 5.15% 1-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 2.06% Other @ 3.18% Total : 31.46% |