National League South | Gameweek 18
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Priory Lane Stadium
Braintree Town

Eastbourne
3 - 1
Braintree

Vigar (2'), Holman (45+1'), Gravata (80')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Blackwell (20')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Eastbourne Borough and Braintree Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastbourne Borough

All competitions
Last Game: Maidstone 2-0 Eastbourne
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South

Braintree Town

All competitions
Last Game: Braintree 4-0 St Albans City
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastbourne Borough win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eastbourne Borough win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastbourne Borough would win this match.

Result
Eastbourne BoroughDrawBraintree Town
44.77% (0.086999999999996 0.09)24.91% (0.071999999999999 0.07)30.32% (-0.162 -0.16)
Both teams to score 56.15% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.09% (-0.406 -0.41)46.91% (0.403 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.83% (-0.38 -0.38)69.16% (0.376 0.38)
Eastbourne Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79% (-0.131 -0.13)21% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.22% (-0.204 -0.2)53.77% (0.201 0.2)
Braintree Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08% (-0.315 -0.31)28.92% (0.311 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.2% (-0.391 -0.39)64.79% (0.38799999999999 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Eastbourne Borough 44.77%
    Braintree Town 30.32%
    Draw 24.9%
Eastbourne BoroughDrawBraintree Town
1-0 @ 9.48% (0.123 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.4% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.77% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 44.77%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.07% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 7.53% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 30.32%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Braintree
2-0
Eastbourne
Janneh (45+1'), Bradshaw (63')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Eastbourne
1-2
Braintree
Luer (20')
Clements (10'), Altintop (54')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Braintree
0-0
Eastbourne
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Eastbourne
6-0
Braintree
Walker (19'), Hammond (33' pen.), Hutchinson (54', 59'), Whelpdale (62'), Oyinsan (81')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Braintree
P-P
Eastbourne
rhs 2.0


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