Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Chesham United	Draw	Torquay United
41.11% ( 0.18)	25.38% ( -0.04)	33.51% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 55.89% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.16% (

0.16)

47.84% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.98% (

0.15)

70.02% (

-0.15)

Chesham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.88% (

0.16)

23.12% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.03% (

0.23)

56.97% (

-0.23)

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.69% (

-0.01)

27.31% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.25% (

-0.01)

62.75% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Chesham United 41.11%

Torquay United 33.51%

Draw 25.38%

Chesham United	Draw	Torquay United
1-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 41.11%	1-1 @ 12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 33.51%