Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.
