Alfreton Town
National League North | Gameweek 13
Dec 12, 2020 at 3pm UK
North Street
Chorley

Alfreton
1 - 1
Chorley

Rawson (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hall (90+6' pen.)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Chorley.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawChorley
24.9%25.2%49.9%
Both teams to score 51.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.41%51.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.62%73.38%
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.46%35.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.7%72.3%
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31%20.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71%53.28%
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 24.9%
    Chorley 49.89%
    Draw 25.2%
Alfreton TownDrawChorley
1-0 @ 7.61%
2-1 @ 6.2%
2-0 @ 3.94%
3-1 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 1.68%
3-0 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 24.9%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 7.35%
2-2 @ 4.88%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 11.58%
1-2 @ 9.44%
0-2 @ 9.13%
1-3 @ 4.96%
0-3 @ 4.79%
2-3 @ 2.57%
1-4 @ 1.95%
0-4 @ 1.89%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 49.89%