Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Brest had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Brest |
| 41.6% | 25.98% | 32.42% |
| Both teams to score 53.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.29% | 50.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.39% | 72.61% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% | 24.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.56% | 58.44% |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.59% | 29.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.59% | 65.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% 2-1 @ 8.78% 2-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.87% Total : 41.6% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 8.69% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.42% |