MX23RW : Thursday, May 2 14:55:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Stockport County
League Two | 2nd Leg
May 20, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Edgeley Park
Salford City

Stockport
2 - 1
Salford City

Olaofe (68'), Stretton (115')
Horsfall (19'), Camps (29'), Olaofe (34'), Rydel (66'), Sarcevic (75'), Knoyle (85'), Hippolyte (90+5')
FT
(aet)
Mallan (112')
Touray (49'), Watt (103')
Stockport win 3-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Stockport County and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 1-0 Stockport
Saturday, May 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-0 Stockport
Saturday, May 13 at 7.45pm in League Two

We say: Stockport County 2-0 Salford City (Stockport win 2-1 on aggregate)

Although they lost the first leg, Stockport County have been in exceptional form, losing just two of their last 20 games, and we expect them to get the job done on Saturday. The fans could play a huge part in helping the Hatters overturn the one-goal deficit, with tickets now completely sold out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawSalford City
48.38% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 25.71% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 25.9% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.15% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)52.85% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.53% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)74.47% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)21.86% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.91% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)55.09% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.63% (0.0010000000000048 0)35.37% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.87% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)72.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 48.38%
    Salford City 25.9%
    Draw 25.71%
Stockport CountyDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 11.75%
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.94% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 48.38%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 7.73% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 25.9%

How you voted: Stockport vs Salford City

Stockport County
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Salford City
20.0%
10
Head to Head
May 13, 2023 7.45pm
Mar 31, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 16
Salford City
0-2
Stockport

Eastham (40')
Collar (45+2'), Madden (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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