Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Sep 28, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Pina Manique
Casa Pia2 - 1Nacional
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Casa Pia and Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, September 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, September 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Uniao de Leiria 3-3 Nacional (4-5 pen.)
Sunday, July 30 at 11am in Taca da Liga
Sunday, July 30 at 11am in Taca da Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Nacional |
46.53% ( -0.06) | 25.62% ( -0) | 27.85% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 52.33% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.79% ( 0.07) | 51.21% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.95% ( 0.06) | 73.05% ( -0.05) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78% ( -0) | 22% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.69% ( -0.01) | 55.31% ( 0.01) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.08% ( 0.09) | 32.92% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.51% ( 0.1) | 69.49% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia 46.53%
Nacional 27.85%
Draw 25.61%
Casa Pia | Draw | Nacional |
1-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 46.53% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 27.85% |
How you voted: Casa Pia vs Nacional
Casa Pia
76.9%Draw
7.7%Nacional
15.4%13
Head to Head
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-30 00:38:40
10am
Medvedev
Bublik
Bublik
10am
Rublev
Griekspoor
Griekspoor
11.30am
Hurkacz
Fritz
Fritz
1pm
Cerundolo
Zverev
Zverev
2.30pm
Sinner
Khachanov
Khachanov
3pm
Struff
Alcaraz
Alcaraz
4pm
Auger-Aliassime
Ruud
Ruud
8.30pm
Nadal
Lehecka
Lehecka
10am
Putintseva
Rybakina
Rybakina
11.30am
Swiatek
Haddad Maia
Haddad Maia
7pm
Keys
Jabeur
Jabeur
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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