MX23RW : Tuesday, April 30 07:46:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 21
Jun 24, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona
Defensa y Justicia

Argentinos Jrs
3 - 1
Defensa

Gonzalez (20'), Avalos (53', 70')
Heredia (75'), Gonzalez (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Miritello (90' pen.)
Colombo (10'), Gutierrez (17'), Bogarin (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Argentinos Juniors and Defensa y Justicia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Defensa
Sunday, June 18 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Argentinos Juniors 0-1 Defensa y Justicia

Defensa have been sharp on the back end away from home throughout much of the campaign, while their recent form against Argentinos and consistently strong defensive shape has us leaning towards them claiming another road victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 13.53%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.82%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.

Result
Argentinos JuniorsDrawDefensa y Justicia
63.59% (-0.402 -0.4) 22.88% (0.196 0.2) 13.53% (0.207 0.21)
Both teams to score 39.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.82% (-0.308 -0.31)57.18% (0.307 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.96% (-0.246 -0.25)78.04% (0.24499999999999 0.24)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.43% (-0.253 -0.25)17.57% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.87% (-0.442 -0.44)48.12% (0.44 0.44)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.95% (0.14 0.14)52.05% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.96% (0.092000000000001 0.09)86.03% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Argentinos Juniors 63.58%
    Defensa y Justicia 13.53%
    Draw 22.87%
Argentinos JuniorsDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 15.9% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 13.82% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.02% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.49% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 63.58%
1-1 @ 10.38% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 9.15% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 2.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.87%
0-1 @ 5.97% (0.094 0.09)
1-2 @ 3.39% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.95% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 13.53%

How you voted: Argentinos Jrs vs Defensa

Argentinos Juniors
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Defensa y Justicia
40.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 19
Defensa
2-1
Argentinos Jrs
Rios (43'), Togni (76')
Avalos (24')
Mar 15, 2022 12.30am
Oct 9, 2021 5.30pm
Second Phase
Argentinos Jrs
0-2
Defensa

Minissale (37')
Tripichio (65'), Bou (82')
Merentiel (74')
Nov 4, 2019 10pm
Gameweek 12
Defensa
0-0
Argentinos Jrs
Loaiza (29'), Marquez (33'), Delgado (45')
Quintana (13')
Feb 11, 2019 10pm
Gameweek 18
Defensa
2-1
Argentinos Jrs
Marquez (73'), Castro (95')
Barboza (55'), Fernandez (74')
Moyano (59')
Mac Allister (27'), Batallini (88'), Chavez (90')
rhs 2.0
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