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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 52.19%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a win it was 0-1 (7.14%).
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 52.19% | 24.61% | 23.2% |
| Both teams to score 51.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.28% | 50.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.38% | 72.62% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.59% | 19.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.77% | 51.23% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.42% | 36.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.63% | 73.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 9.54% 3-1 @ 5.24% 3-0 @ 5.22% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 2.15% 4-0 @ 2.14% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.95% Total : 52.19% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.61% | 0-1 @ 7.14% 1-2 @ 5.89% 0-2 @ 3.59% 1-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.79% Total : 23.2% |