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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Salford City |
| 36.21% ( | 24.08% ( | 39.7% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.63% ( | 41.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.23% ( | 63.76% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( | 22.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.59% ( | 56.41% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.01% ( | 20.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.25% ( | 53.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Salford City |
| 2-1 @ 8.17% 1-0 @ 7.07% ( 2-0 @ 5.23% ( 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-2 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.35% Total : 36.21% | 1-1 @ 11.03% 2-2 @ 6.38% 0-0 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0-1 @ 7.45% 0-2 @ 5.82% ( 1-3 @ 4.48% ( 2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0-3 @ 3.03% 1-4 @ 1.75% 2-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.77% Total : 39.7% |