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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Gillingham |
| 41.17% | 27.59% | 31.24% |
| Both teams to score 48.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.62% | 57.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.8% | 78.21% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.6% | 27.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.12% | 62.89% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.38% | 33.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.73% | 70.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 11.93% 2-1 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-0 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.92% Total : 41.17% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.22% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 10.04% 1-2 @ 7.09% 0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.24% |