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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 31.08% | 26.35% | 42.58% |
| Both teams to score 51.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.34% | 52.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.7% | 74.3% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.7% | 31.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.34% | 67.66% |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% | 24.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.03% | 58.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.91% 2-1 @ 7.28% 2-0 @ 5.17% 3-1 @ 2.82% 3-0 @ 2% 3-2 @ 1.98% Other @ 2.92% Total : 31.08% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.67% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 10.78% 1-2 @ 8.81% 0-2 @ 7.59% 1-3 @ 4.13% 0-3 @ 3.56% 2-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.61% Total : 42.57% |