Derry City
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 6
Apr 20, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium
Dundalk

Derry
1 - 1
Dundalk

McJannett (61')
(2'), Parkhouse (49'), Malone (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McMillan (53')
Boyle (26'), Cleary (38'), Shields (73')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Dundalk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Derry City win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Derry CityDrawDundalk
35.98%26.5%37.52%
Both teams to score 52.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.68%52.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.99%74.01%
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03%27.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.4%63.6%
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93%27.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56%62.44%
Score Analysis
    Derry City 35.98%
    Dundalk 37.52%
    Draw 26.5%
Derry CityDrawDundalk
1-0 @ 9.64%
2-1 @ 8.03%
2-0 @ 6.14%
3-1 @ 3.41%
3-0 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 35.98%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.57%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 9.89%
1-2 @ 8.24%
0-2 @ 6.46%
1-3 @ 3.59%
0-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.29%
1-4 @ 1.17%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 37.52%