Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.