J1 League | Gameweek 30
Sep 23, 2020 at 11am UK
Noevir Stadium Kobe

Vissel Kobe
4 - 3
Sagan Tosu

Yamaguchi (9'), Iniesta (20'), Furuhashi (55', 68')
Samper (26'), Nishi (29')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kanamori (17'), Harakawa (51'), Hayashi (71')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Vissel Kobe and Sagan Tosu.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.

Result
Vissel KobeDrawSagan Tosu
53.15%23.66%23.18%
Both teams to score 54.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.19%46.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.93%69.07%
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.44%17.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.9%48.1%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.56%34.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.85%71.15%
Score Analysis
    Vissel Kobe 53.16%
    Sagan Tosu 23.18%
    Draw 23.66%
Vissel KobeDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.52%
2-1 @ 9.75%
2-0 @ 9.15%
3-1 @ 5.66%
3-0 @ 5.31%
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 2.46%
4-0 @ 2.31%
4-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 53.16%
1-1 @ 11.21%
0-0 @ 6.05%
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.66%
0-1 @ 6.45%
1-2 @ 5.98%
0-2 @ 3.44%
1-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.85%
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 23.18%