J1 League | Gameweek 14
May 15, 2021 at 8am UK
Oita Bank Dome

Oita Trinita
1 - 1
Sagan Tosu

Nagasawa (82')
Kagawa (64'), Watanabe (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yamashita (11')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Oita Trinita and Sagan Tosu.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 36.8%. A win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.31%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Oita Trinita win was 1-0 (12.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Oita TrinitaDrawSagan Tosu
33.24%29.96%36.8%
Both teams to score 42.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.96%65.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.08%83.92%
Oita Trinita Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.72%36.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.94%73.07%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.15%33.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.48%70.52%
Score Analysis
    Oita Trinita 33.24%
    Sagan Tosu 36.8%
    Draw 29.95%
Oita TrinitaDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 12.45%
2-1 @ 6.84%
2-0 @ 6.31%
3-1 @ 2.31%
3-0 @ 2.13%
3-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 33.24%
1-1 @ 13.48%
0-0 @ 12.28%
2-2 @ 3.7%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.95%
0-1 @ 13.3%
1-2 @ 7.31%
0-2 @ 7.21%
1-3 @ 2.64%
0-3 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 36.8%