MX23RW : Friday, April 18 16:06:32| >> :60:277:277:
India national football team
Friendlies 2
Mar 19, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium
Maldives national football team

India
3 - 0
Maldives

Bheke (34'), Colaco (66'), Chhetri (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between India and Maldives, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: India 1-1 Malaysia
Monday, November 18 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Bangladesh 2-1 Maldives
Saturday, November 16 at 12pm in International Friendlies

We said: India 2-0 Maldives

Neither nation brings much form into this fixture, but India are ranked 36 places higher in the world rankings, meaning they will expect to have too much for the visitors. Maldives have only played twice in 18 months, and will need to get up to speed quickly ahead of the start of Asian Cup qualifying next week, and this fixture could be used solely for that. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a India win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Maldives had a probability of 16.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a India win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Maldives win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that India would win this match.

Result
IndiaDrawMaldives
59.84% (0.54000000000001 0.54) 23.24% (-0.023 -0.02) 16.92% (-0.518 -0.52)
Both teams to score 45.66% (-0.904 -0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.98% (-0.682 -0.68)53.01% (0.682 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.39% (-0.584 -0.58)74.61% (0.58499999999999 0.58)
India Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.6% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)17.4% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.17% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)47.82% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Maldives Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.27% (-1.057 -1.06)44.72% (1.058 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.29% (-0.864 -0.86)80.71% (0.86399999999999 0.86)
Score Analysis
    India 59.82%
    Maldives 16.92%
    Draw 23.23%
IndiaDrawMaldives
1-0 @ 13.6% (0.34 0.34)
2-0 @ 11.89% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.94% (0.149 0.15)
3-1 @ 5.58% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.03% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.084 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 59.82%
1-1 @ 10.94% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.78% (0.207 0.21)
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.138 -0.14)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 23.23%
0-1 @ 6.26% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.41% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 2.52% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 16.92%

How you voted: India vs Maldives

India
84.6%
Draw
7.7%
Maldives
7.7%
26
rhs 2.0
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