Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangladesh win with a probability of 53.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Maldives had a probability of 21.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bangladesh win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Maldives win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.