Friendlies 3

Sep 5, 2024 at 1pm UK

Changlimithang National Stadium

Bhutan
0 - 1
Bangladesh

Wangchuk Tshering (12'), Shedrup Tshering (46')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Morsalin (5')
Ghosh (62')

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Bhutan and Bangladesh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bhutan

Last Game: Sri Lanka 2-0 Bhutan
Monday, March 25 at 3.15pm in International Friendlies

Bangladesh

Last Game: Lebanon 4-0 Bangladesh
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bhutan win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Bangladesh had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bhutan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Bangladesh win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Bhutan	Draw	Bangladesh
40.49% ( 1.18)	23.62% ( 0.16)	35.89% ( -1.34)

Both teams to score 62.75% (

-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.87% (

-0.93)

39.14% (

0.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.54% (

-0.98)

61.46% (

0.98)

Bhutan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.34% (

0.14)

19.67% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.36% (

0.23)

51.65% (

-0.23)

Bangladesh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.12% (

-1.09)

21.89% (

1.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.86% (

-1.68)

55.14% (

1.69)

Score Analysis

Bhutan 40.49%

Bangladesh 35.89%

Draw 23.62%

Bhutan	Draw	Bangladesh
2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 7% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.21% Total : 40.49%	1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.62%	1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.89%