Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 11
Oct 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Hidegkuti Nandor Stadion

MTK
4 - 1
Ujpest

Jurina (15'), Duarte (56' og.), Kosznovszky (66'), Molnar (71')
Beriashvili (49')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mark Arion (2')
Horvath (73'), Brodic (74')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between MTK and Ujpest.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Diosgyor 0-2 MTK
Saturday, October 19 at 4.30pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Ujpest 1-0 Nyiregyhaza
Saturday, October 19 at 6.30pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ujpest win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for MTK had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ujpest win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest MTK win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
MTKDrawUjpest
35.42% (0.028999999999996 0.03)24.6% (0.064 0.06)39.99% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 59.05% (-0.218 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.08% (-0.286 -0.29)43.92% (0.293 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.69% (-0.281 -0.28)66.31% (0.288 0.29)
MTK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.66% (-0.11500000000001 -0.12)24.34% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.27% (-0.168 -0.17)58.73% (0.177 0.18)
Ujpest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04% (-0.163 -0.16)21.96% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.75% (-0.254 -0.25)55.25% (0.261 0.26)
Score Analysis
    MTK 35.42%
    Ujpest 39.99%
    Draw 24.59%
MTKDrawUjpest
2-1 @ 8.09% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 7.55% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.34% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 35.42%
1-1 @ 11.44% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.59%
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.1% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.14% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.1% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 39.99%

Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
Ujpest
1-2
MTK
Csoboth (20')
Ljujic (35'), Huszti (57'), Kobouri (90+3')
Jurina (78', 90+7')
Kadar (64'), Kovacs (90+2'), Jurina (90+7')
Feb 2, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 18
MTK
3-0
Ujpest
Gey (20'), Jurina (36'), Kocsis (58')
Nemeth (55')

Hall (15'), Morschel (55'), Radosevic (85'), Radosevic (86')
Sep 23, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 7
Ujpest
0-2
MTK

Ganea (87')
Bognar (25'), Nemeth (72')
Vegh (49'), Kata (50')