Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kecskemeti TE win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for MTK had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kecskemeti TE win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest MTK win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.