Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.49%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (12.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Elche	Draw	Real Zaragoza
37.5% ( -0.57)	29.62% ( -0.33)	32.88% ( 0.9)

Both teams to score 42.98% (

1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.99% (

1.16)

64.01% (

-1.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.81% (

0.82)

83.19% (

-0.82)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.14% (

0.25)

32.86% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.57% (

0.28)

69.43% (

-0.28)

Real Zaragoza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.02% (

1.29)

35.98% (

-1.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.24% (

1.3)

72.76% (

-1.3)

Score Analysis

Elche 37.5%

Real Zaragoza 32.87%

Draw 29.62%

Elche	Draw	Real Zaragoza
1-0 @ 13.15% ( -0.49) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.5%	1-1 @ 13.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.52) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.62%	0-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.99% Total : 32.87%