Potential new FA Cup header

FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Woodstock Park (Sittingbourne, Kent)
Dover Athletic

Sittingbourne
2 - 2
Dover Athletic

FT(HT: 0-0)
Earle (90+2' og.), Kingsford (90+4')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Sittingbourne and Dover Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sittingbourne

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Farnham Town 2-4 Sittingbourne
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Dover Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-3 Yeovil
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dover Athletic win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for Sittingbourne had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dover Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Sittingbourne win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
SittingbourneDrawDover Athletic
31.05% (-0.274 -0.27)22.99% (0.02 0.02)45.95% (0.256 0.26)
Both teams to score 63.34% (-0.22 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.35% (-0.227 -0.23)37.65% (0.228 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.11% (-0.243 -0.24)59.89% (0.245 0.24)
Sittingbourne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.13% (-0.27199999999999 -0.27)23.87% (0.274 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93% (-0.395 -0.4)58.06% (0.394 0.39)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.19% (0.010999999999996 0.01)16.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.22% (0.016999999999996 0.02)46.77% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sittingbourne 31.05%
    Dover Athletic 45.95%
    Draw 22.99%
SittingbourneDrawDover Athletic
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-0 @ 5.75% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.12% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.97% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 31.05%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.01% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 9.14% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.15% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.38% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 5.43% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.89% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.79% (0.045 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.42% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.74% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.69% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 45.95%