FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Aitchison Playing Field

Oldland Abbotonians
2 - 4
Amersham Town

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Oldland Abbotonians and Amersham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amersham Town win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Oldland Abbotonians had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Amersham Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.47%) and 2-3 (5.18%). The likeliest Oldland Abbotonians win was 2-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Amersham Town would win this match.

Result
Oldland AbbotoniansDrawAmersham Town
35.14% (0.045999999999999 0.05)20.48% (0.010000000000002 0.01)44.38% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 74.94% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.65% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)23.35% (0.038 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.27% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)42.74% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Oldland Abbotonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.97% (0.0019999999999953 0)15.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.49% (0.0019999999999953 0)43.51%
Amersham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.19% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)11.81% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.96% (-0.067 -0.07)37.04% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Oldland Abbotonians 35.14%
    Amersham Town 44.38%
    Draw 20.48%
Oldland AbbotoniansDrawAmersham Town
2-1 @ 6.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 3.36% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.19% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.04% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 2.01% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 35.14%
2-2 @ 7.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-1 @ 7.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 3.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 1.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 20.48%
1-2 @ 7.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 5.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 5.18% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.05%
0-1 @ 3.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 2.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 2.77% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.75% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 1.54% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-5 @ 1.18% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 44.38%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Oldland Abbotonians