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FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
infiLED Arena

Melksham
1 - 1
Banbury

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Melksham Town and Banbury United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melksham Town

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Last Game: Bideford 0-1 Melksham
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Banbury United

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Banbury 2-0 Dorchester
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 49.19%. A win for Melksham Town had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Melksham Town win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Melksham TownDrawBanbury United
28.24% (0.073 0.07)22.57% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)49.19% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 62.95% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.64% (0.067999999999998 0.07)37.36% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.42% (0.073 0.07)59.58% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Melksham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.5% (0.084000000000003 0.08)25.49% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.66% (0.11 0.11)60.34% (-0.111 -0.11)
Banbury United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)15.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.58% (0.00099999999999767 0)44.41% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Melksham Town 28.24%
    Banbury United 49.19%
    Draw 22.57%
Melksham TownDrawBanbury United
2-1 @ 6.88% (0.011 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 3.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.68% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 28.24%
1-1 @ 10.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.41% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.82% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.57%
1-2 @ 9.39% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.37% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.87% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.83% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.98% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 1.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 49.19%