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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Sports Ground

Bideford
0 - 1
Melksham

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Bideford and Melksham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bideford

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Last Game: Wellington AFC 0-2 Bideford
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Melksham Town

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Last Game: Melksham 4-1 Shaftesbury Town
Monday, August 19 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melksham Town win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Bideford had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melksham Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Bideford win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melksham Town would win this match.

Result
BidefordDrawMelksham Town
36.63% (0.050000000000004 0.05)24.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)38.65% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 58.78% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.66% (0.036000000000001 0.04)44.34% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.29% (0.033000000000001 0.03)66.71% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Bideford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14% (0.042000000000002 0.04)23.86% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.95% (0.061999999999998 0.06)58.05% (-0.067 -0.07)
Melksham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.19% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)22.8% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.48% (-0.012 -0.01)56.52% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bideford 36.63%
    Melksham Town 38.65%
    Draw 24.71%
BidefordDrawMelksham Town
2-1 @ 8.26% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.59% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.67% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 36.63%
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.71%
1-2 @ 8.52% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.11%
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 38.65%