Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Bideford and Wellington AFC.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bideford win with a probability of 49.61%. A win for Wellington AFC had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bideford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Wellington AFC win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bideford | Draw | Wellington AFC |
| 49.61% | 22.87% | 27.52% |
| Both teams to score 61.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.68% | 39.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.35% | 61.65% |
| Bideford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.92% | 16.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.53% | 45.47% |
| Wellington AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% | 26.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.66% | 62.34% |
| Score Analysis |
Bideford 49.61%
Wellington AFC 27.52%
Draw 22.86%
| Bideford | Draw | Wellington AFC |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% 1-0 @ 7.93% 2-0 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 5.78% 3-0 @ 4.42% 3-2 @ 3.79% 4-1 @ 2.64% 4-0 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 1.73% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.6% Total : 49.61% | 1-1 @ 10.38% 2-2 @ 6.22% 0-0 @ 4.34% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 6.8% 0-1 @ 5.69% 0-2 @ 3.72% 1-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.71% 0-3 @ 1.63% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.03% Total : 27.52% |


