Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buckland Athletic win with a probability of 54.85%. A win for Wellington AFC had a probability of 25.01% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buckland Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.73%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Wellington AFC win was 2-1 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.