FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Homers Heath

Wellington AFC
1 - 0
Buckland Athletic

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Wellington AFC and Buckland Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Buckland Athletic 0-5 Yeovil
Tuesday, July 30 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buckland Athletic win with a probability of 54.85%. A win for Wellington AFC had a probability of 25.01% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buckland Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.73%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Wellington AFC win was 2-1 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Wellington AFCDrawBuckland Athletic
25.01% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)20.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)54.85% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Both teams to score 69.03% (-0.071999999999989 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.83% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)28.17% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.05% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)48.95% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Wellington AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.22% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)22.77% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.53% (-0.128 -0.13)56.47% (0.13 0.13)
Buckland Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.38% (0.0049999999999955 0)10.61% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)34.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Wellington AFC 25.01%
    Buckland Athletic 54.85%
    Draw 20.13%
Wellington AFCDrawBuckland Athletic
2-1 @ 5.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 3.58% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.65% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.31% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 25.01%
1-1 @ 8.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 20.13%
1-2 @ 9% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.08% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.42% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 4.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.55% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.77% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 2.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 2.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.69% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-4 @ 1.38% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
0-5 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 54.85%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Wellington AFC