FA Cup
Melksham Town vs Welton Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melksham Town win with a probability of 67.63%. A win for Welton Rovers had a probability of 16.42% and a draw had a probability of 15.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melksham Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Welton Rovers win was 1-2 (3.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melksham Town would win this match.
Result
Melksham Town
67.63%
▼
(-0.17)
Draw
15.95%
▼
(-0.12)
Welton Rovers
16.42%
▲
(+0.29)
Both Teams to Score:
71.36%
▲
(+1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5
80.08%
▲
(+1.14)
Under 2.5
19.91%
▼
(-1.14)
Over 3.5
62.03%
▲
(+1.61)
Under 3.5
37.97%
▼
(-1.61)
Over 4.5
42.68%
▲
(+1.71)
Under 4.5
57.32%
▼
(-1.71)
Melksham Town Goals
Over 0.5
94.35%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 0.5
5.65%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 1.5
78.11%
▲
(+0.72)
Under 1.5
21.88%
▼
(-0.73)
Welton Rovers Goals
Over 0.5
75.63%
▲
(+1.10)
Under 0.5
24.36%
▼
(-1.10)
Over 1.5
41.23%
▲
(+1.53)
Under 1.5
58.76%
▼
(-1.53)
Score analysis
Melksham Town
67.63%
Draw
15.95%
Welton Rovers
16.42%
Melksham Town
2-1
@
8.02%
▼
(-0.21)
3-1 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.34)
4-1 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.24)
3-2 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.12)
1-0 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.30)
4-0 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.11)
4-2 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.15)
5-1 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.07)
5-0 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.03)
5-2 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.12)
4-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.13)
6-1 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.06)
6-0 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
6-2 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.08)
5-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-95.95)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 67.63%
3-1 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.34)
4-1 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.24)
3-2 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.12)
1-0 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.30)
4-0 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.11)
4-2 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.15)
5-1 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.07)
5-0 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.03)
5-2 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.12)
4-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.13)
6-1 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.06)
6-0 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
6-2 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.08)
5-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-95.95)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 67.63%
Draw
2-2
@
5.67%
▲
(+0.04)
1-1 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.24)
3-3 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 15.95%
1-1 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.24)
3-3 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 15.95%
Welton Rovers
1-2
@
3.94%
▼
(-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.10)
0-1 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.12)
1-3 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.64%
Total : 16.42%
2-3 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.10)
0-1 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.12)
1-3 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.64%
Total : 16.42%