FA Cup

FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round

Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK

infiLED Arena

Melksham
3 - 0
Welton Rovers

Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Melksham Town and Welton Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melksham Town

Last Game: Melksham 1-3 Swindon
Tuesday, July 16 at 10.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melksham Town win with a probability of 67.63%. A win for Welton Rovers had a probability of 16.42% and a draw had a probability of 15.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melksham Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Welton Rovers win was 1-2 (3.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melksham Town would win this match.

Result
Melksham Town	Draw	Welton Rovers
67.63% ( -0.17)	15.95% ( -0.11)	16.42% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 71.36% (

1.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

80.08% (

1.14)

19.91% (

-1.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

62.03% (

1.61)

37.97% (

-1.61)

Melksham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.35% (

0.25)

5.65% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.11% (

0.72)

21.88% (

-0.73)

Welton Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.63% (

1.09)

24.36% (

-1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.23% (

1.52)

58.76% (

-1.53)

Score Analysis

Melksham Town 67.63%

Welton Rovers 16.42%

Draw 15.95%

Melksham Town	Draw	Welton Rovers
2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.33) 4-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.3) 4-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.14) 5-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.11) 4-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.12) 6-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.05) 6-0 @ 1.08% ( 0) 6-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.07) 5-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.86% Total : 67.63%	2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.04) 1-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.77% Total : 15.95%	1-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.06) 3-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.8% Total : 16.42%