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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Spencer Stadium

Banbury
2 - 0
Dorchester

Ball (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Banbury United and Dorchester Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Banbury United

All competitions
Last Game: Banbury 0-3 Tamworth
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in National League North

Dorchester Town

Last Game: Dorchester 0-11 Bournemouth
Saturday, July 19 at 3pm in Pre-Season Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorchester Town win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Banbury United had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorchester Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Banbury United win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Banbury UnitedDrawDorchester Town
34.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)24.24%41.31% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Both teams to score 60.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.58%42.42% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.18%64.82% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Banbury United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)24.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.5% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)58.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Dorchester Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (0.0019999999999953 0)20.68% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.72% (0.0020000000000024 0)53.28% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Banbury United 34.45%
    Dorchester Town 41.31%
    Draw 24.23%
Banbury UnitedDrawDorchester Town
2-1 @ 7.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.1%
2-0 @ 5.04%
3-1 @ 3.76%
3-2 @ 2.96%
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 34.45%
1-1 @ 11.18%
2-2 @ 6.26%
0-0 @ 5%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 8.82%
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 6.21% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 4.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.29%
0-3 @ 3.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.82%
2-4 @ 1.3%
0-4 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 41.31%