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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Campo Sportivo di Montegiardino

Virtus
0 - 0
Flora


Lombardi (35'), Pecci (72'), Rizzo (90+6')
FT

Hussar (40'), Soomets (59'), Kuraksin (72')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Virtus and Flora.

Form, Standings, Stats

Virtus

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: FCSB 4-0 Virtus
Tuesday, July 16 at 6.30pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Flora

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Celje 2-1 Flora
Tuesday, July 16 at 6pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flora win with a probability of 53.8%. A win for Virtus had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flora win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Virtus win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
VirtusDrawFlora
24.19% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)22.01% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)53.8% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Both teams to score 60.92% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.72% (0.061 0.06)38.28% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.44% (0.066000000000003 0.07)60.56% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Virtus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08% (0.040999999999997 0.04)28.92% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.21% (0.050999999999995 0.05)64.79% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Flora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.7% (0.022999999999996 0.02)14.3% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.9% (0.043999999999997 0.04)42.1% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Virtus 24.19%
    Flora 53.8%
    Draw 22.01%
VirtusDrawFlora
2-1 @ 6.19%
1-0 @ 5.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.18% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-1 @ 2.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 24.19%
1-1 @ 9.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.01%
1-2 @ 9.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.82% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 5.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.9% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.06% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 2.47%
2-4 @ 1.9% (0.004 0)
1-5 @ 1.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 53.8%

How you voted: Virtus vs Flora

Virtus
40.0%
Draw
10.0%
Flora
50.0%
10