Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Campo Sportivo di Montegiardino
Virtus1 - 7FCSB
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FCSB win with a probability of 69.29%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Virtus had a probability of 12.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a FCSB win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.6%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Virtus win it was 1-0 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FCSB would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Virtus | Draw | FCSB |
| 12.01% ( | 18.71% ( | 69.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.89% ( | 44.11% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.51% ( | 66.49% ( |
| Virtus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.55% ( | 46.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.93% ( | 82.07% ( |
| FCSB Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.4% | 11.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.42% ( | 36.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
Virtus 12.01%
FCSB 69.28%
Draw 18.71%
| Virtus | Draw | FCSB |
| 1-0 @ 4.13% ( 2-1 @ 3.41% ( 2-0 @ 1.58% ( 3-2 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.94% Total : 12.01% | 1-1 @ 8.9% ( 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 2-2 @ 3.67% ( Other @ 0.75% Total : 18.71% | 0-2 @ 12.5% ( 0-1 @ 11.6% ( 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0-3 @ 8.98% ( 1-3 @ 6.88% ( 0-4 @ 4.84% ( 1-4 @ 3.71% ( 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0-5 @ 2.08% ( 1-5 @ 1.6% ( 2-4 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 3.44% Total : 69.28% |
How you voted: Virtus vs FCSB
Virtus
20.5%Draw
9.1%FCSB
70.5%44
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Virtus


