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Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Sheriff
Partizan

Sheriff Tiraspol
0 - 1
Partizan

FT(HT: 0-1)
Gomes (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Sheriff Tiraspol and Partizan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheriff Tiraspol

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Last Game: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-0 Omonia
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
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Partizan

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Last Game: Partizan 1-1 Slovacko
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 59.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Partizan had a probability of 16.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.53%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Partizan win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Sheriff TiraspolDrawPartizan
59.81% (0.231 0.23)23.94% (0.023 0.02)16.25% (-0.255 -0.25)
Both teams to score 42.52% (-0.537 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.47% (-0.44600000000001 -0.45)56.53% (0.444 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.48% (-0.36 -0.36)77.52% (0.36 0.36)
Sheriff Tiraspol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.3% (-0.083999999999989 -0.08)18.7% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.95% (-0.136 -0.14)50.05% (0.134 0.13)
Partizan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.3% (-0.607 -0.61)47.7% (0.605 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.99% (-0.454 -0.45)83.01% (0.452 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Sheriff Tiraspol 59.8%
    Partizan 16.25%
    Draw 23.94%
Sheriff TiraspolDrawPartizan
1-0 @ 14.95% (0.22 0.22)
2-0 @ 12.53% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 7.01% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.94% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 59.8%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.92% (0.151 0.15)
2-2 @ 3.44% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 23.94%
0-1 @ 6.6%
1-2 @ 4.1% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.44% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.01% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 16.25%

How you voted: Sheriff Tiraspol vs Partizan

Sheriff Tiraspol
45.5%
Draw
36.4%
Partizan
18.2%
77