Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Omonia win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Omonia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.43%) and 0-2 (5.35%). The likeliest Sheriff Tiraspol win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheriff Tiraspol would win this match.