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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion HNK Rijeka

Rijeka
1 - 2
Djurgarden

Vuckic (13')
Kresic (77'), Pavlovic (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Finndell (38'), Edvardsen (54')
Hien (80'), Andersson (90+2')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between HNK Rijeka and Djurgardens IF.

Form, Standings, Stats

HNK Rijeka

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Last Game: Rijeka 0-2 PAOK
Thursday, August 26 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
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Djurgardens IF

Last Six:
Last Game: Djurgarden 5-0 Varnamo
Saturday, July 16 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 49.02%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.

Result
HNK RijekaDrawDjurgardens IF
26.64% (0.062999999999999 0.06)24.34% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)49.02% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.45% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.35% (0.047000000000004 0.05)46.64% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.08% (0.044 0.04)68.91% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
HNK Rijeka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.54% (0.073999999999998 0.07)31.46% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.16% (0.083999999999996 0.08)67.84% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Djurgardens IF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.91% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)19.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.3% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)50.7% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    HNK Rijeka 26.64%
    Djurgardens IF 49.02%
    Draw 24.34%
HNK RijekaDrawDjurgardens IF
1-0 @ 6.94%
2-1 @ 6.65% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.02% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.56% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.55% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 26.64%
1-1 @ 11.5%
0-0 @ 6% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 9.94% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.52% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 8.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.55% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.04% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.88% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 49.02%

How you voted: Rijeka vs Djurgarden

HNK Rijeka
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Djurgardens IF
50.0%
8
rhs 2.0


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