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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.06%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 26.81% | 21.97% | 51.22% |
| Both teams to score 63.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.48% | 35.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.43% | 57.57% |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.5% | 25.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.65% | 60.35% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.84% | 14.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.16% | 41.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 6.59% 1-0 @ 4.93% 2-0 @ 3.37% 3-1 @ 3% 3-2 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 1.54% 4-1 @ 1.03% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.42% Total : 26.81% | 1-1 @ 9.65% 2-2 @ 6.44% 0-0 @ 3.61% 3-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.97% | 1-2 @ 9.43% 0-1 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 6.9% 1-3 @ 6.14% 0-3 @ 4.5% 2-3 @ 4.2% 1-4 @ 3% 0-4 @ 2.2% 2-4 @ 2.05% 1-5 @ 1.17% 3-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.64% Total : 51.22% |