Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 51.78%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.
