Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.46%) and 1-3 (5.41%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
